- Are prediction markets actually valuable?
- Are decision markets actually valuable?
- Manifold Plays Wordle didn’t seem that awesome
- Though: bulk-create was a lot better
- What are the next two 10x improvements on reducing time?
- Chess?
- For futarchy to be tested you need a futarchic agent; something that obeys the decisions of futarchy
- Would be best as an entirely single-player game where you can try and profit from futarchy?
- Lets you test different designs faster
- Different choices of metric
- Random selection of markets rather than deterministic
- Reading from Vitalik: https://blog.ethereum.org/2014/08/21/introduction-futarchy/
- How hard is crypto?
- What emergent properties happen to markets at scale?
- E.g. fraud, regulation, etc
- Actually: maybe don’t worry about this until we’ve scaled
- Except insofar as these scare our users and prevent us from scaling