- Do good forecasters produce better results?
- Startups?
- Research?
- Why isnât the world ruled by forecasters?
- Is forecasting accuracy a goodheart-ish measure?
- Doing well in a prediction tournament doesnât produce the same properties of âbeing good at leadershipâ or âbeing good at navigating the worldâ
- In the same way that âbeing good at competitive MTGâ doesnât translate to âbeing good at game designâ
- Experts vs âsuperforecastersâ feels kind of overblown