Next-gen “community”, unifying Mox/Manifund/Manifold/Manifest:
Motivation:
- Breaking out of the “Dunbar’s number” limit on building community & running events
- Extend the snap judgement thing one does when scrolling through Partiful and deciding who to invite
- Many good event organizers want to find relevant people (cf METR hackathon, Ricki’s events)
- Imperfect modeling of others leads to problems with sales, marketing (cf passing along leads for events)
- Manifold & Manifund create salience, interactions, knowledge of people
Pitch:
- Build an extremely detailed view of who you are and what you want, based on your public interactions, writing
- As the Christian God: all-knowing, all-caring, unique relationship with you
- (When they say “building god” many mean “supersmart”, but God is more than that)
- Be able to hold all of this within a coherent system, query-able, powered by LLM
- High-fidelity simulations of your persona?
- Preserves your attention when you have too many opportunities to take
- See: Workshop Labs or Worth the Candle utopia assistants
- CRM on steroids; highly targeted ads
- Consider the data Google/FB/etc has on you. But: Google only monetizes this to the tune of $100/pp/y via ad spends.
- Deep knowledge of people should be worth so much more than that.
- E.g. Manifold Jobs; high value in knowing rates of growth
- Rather than very specific opportunities fragmented across different verticals (jobs vs shopping vs information vs love), could be unified, building a more holistic picture of people
- (maybe this is the direction OpenAI is going down?)
Imagine:
- The superpowered matchmaker that can immediately find your partner for life
- Recommends events like Manifest or communities like Mox for you
- Finds you cofounders, jobs, roles, next steps
Potential MVPs:
- Mapping out the EA ecosystem (individuals, orgs) based on Manifund/Mox/Austin’s rolodex
- Lightest version is a tool that’s just useful for me
- Building out a thing for ACX Grants, helping w/ review
- Consolidate the 50 CRMs we have right now
- Helping with our own pipelines for eg Manifold hiring, Mox fundraising, etc
- Imagine auto-populating a CRM from existing data in one go, Airtable-like
Extensions:
- Mapping personas for orgs and communities too
- Could be meme-y: “Mox-chan wants more events”
Musings:
- Event series: boring business skills
- Build a CRM; send cold emails; structure a standup
- (in the age of LLM?)
- Should always be automating your job.
- How to create more Manifolds? Create more Moxs?
- Or: Create more The Curves?
- (or: improve efficiency of existing systems)
- Bottleneck is sometimes more reachouts, accountability
- There’s value in doing things by hand — mostly, in that the things you supervise/own are the things that you can more easily modify, have loaded into your context
- “What to load into your context”