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Post EA?

Ways I’ve changed my mind

  • No longer sure AI is risky or bad
    • From: Hacking on LLM stuff, talking to and using LLMs
    • Disbelief of orthogonality thesis; supposition of AI as god
  • Disagreements with EA as practiced by OpenPhil & CEA
    • See Nuno’s comments on EA; Leila’s trajectory
    • Manifest vs EAG as a study in taste vs goodhearting
    • Systems vs individuals
  • Unclear that donations to eg malaria nets, still matter to me
    • … did I just get status-captured into contrarian donating? Like, malaria isn’t cool now, it’s AI, or if not animals, or maybe weird speculative stuff or progress
  • Marginal person represented on the EA Forum doesn’t excite me
    • Evaporative cooling of EA, towards AI risk stuff, or others
  • I enjoy philosophy and academia but it’s not how I operate
    • SV “doing stuff” is a better match for my interests

But: is SV technocapitalism better?

  • That’s the default framing for Manifold, buni, or something I’d do next
  • Post-SV folks like Evan Wallace or Nate Foss
  • From def/acc: There’s a lot of cargoculting around raising, getting funding, talking to users
  • I like the benefits of choice, but:
    • Jenn on Rich Friend Poor Friend — capitalism reduces the need to rely on each other, which also seems pretty important?

Which status ladders are worth playing?

Ones nearby:

  • Silicon Valley — Founders? VCs?
  • EA — Holden? Dustin?
  • AI — Top researchers?
  • Catholic — Jesus? Pope?
  • Politics — President? Founding Fathers?
  • Bloggers — Scott Alexander? Tyler Cowen?

Drafting a better ideology, network state, religion

  • More solid commitments than EA?
    • And more structured governance, equity?
  • Inclusive for AIs?
    • Need to solve all the problems of @agent economics
  • Is this for myself, or for others (to coordinate many folks?)
  • Pluralistic?